Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | UNF +130 EKU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +13 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -0.4 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -0.3 (+12.7) | 158.5 (-17.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -0.3 (+12.7) | 159.5 (-18.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -0.3 (+12.7) | 156.6 (-15.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -0.2 (+12.8) | 158.6 (-17.6) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UNF 87 – 85 EKU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | EKU 86 – 81 UNF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | EKU 79 – 74 UNF |
| Jan 27, 2024 | EKU 89 – 76 UNF |
| Jan 23, 2022 | EKU 67 – 58 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-14 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#260) | -1.2 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#214) | 0.45 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#207) | 0.23 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#187) | 0.537 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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