Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +18 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -5.6 (-23.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -4.8 (-22.8) | 137.7 (+4.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -5.8 (-23.8) | 137.4 (+4.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IU -5.7 (-23.7) | 137.5 (+4.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -4.3 (-22.3) | 138.9 (+3.1) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | MICH 86 – 72 IU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MICH 70 – 67 IU |
| Dec 6, 2023 | IU 78 – 75 MICH |
| Mar 5, 2023 | IU 75 – 73 MICH |
| Feb 11, 2023 | IU 62 – 61 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#25) | 10.3 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#39) | 1.19 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.13 (#32) | 1.77 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#34) | 0.567 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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