Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | IU +140 MICH -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -4.9 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -2.4 (-0.6) | 147.7 (-10.7) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -2.5 (-0.5) | 148.5 (-11.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -2.6 (-0.4) | 148.8 (-11.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -3.3 (+0.3) | 150.7 (-13.7) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | MICH 86 – 72 IU |
| Dec 6, 2023 | IU 78 – 75 MICH |
| Mar 5, 2023 | IU 75 – 73 MICH |
| Feb 11, 2023 | IU 62 – 61 MICH |
| Mar 10, 2022 | IU 74 – 69 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 7-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#59) | 18.2 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#55) | 2.97 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#54) | 4.11 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#48) | 0.647 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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