Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | MICH -285 IU +228 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -11.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -4.4 (-7.4) | 149.1 (+3.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -7.5 (-10.5) | 146.9 (+6.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -4.9 (-7.9) | 146.9 (+6.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -4.2 (-7.2) | 148.3 (+4.7) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | MICH 86 – 72 IU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MICH 70 – 67 IU |
| Mar 5, 2023 | IU 75 – 73 MICH |
| Feb 11, 2023 | IU 62 – 61 MICH |
| Mar 10, 2022 | IU 74 – 69 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L9 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#65) | 1.8 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#159) | 2.15 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#136) | 3.34 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#97) | 0.581 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 50.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 34.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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