Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -1650 IU +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +14 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -18.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -15.1 (-1.1) | 159.3 (-1.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -16.0 (-2.0) | 156.1 (+1.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -17.6 (-3.6) | 156.1 (+1.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -18.8 (-4.8) | 155.6 (+2.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2025 | MICH 70 – 67 IU |
| Dec 6, 2023 | IU 78 – 75 MICH |
| Mar 5, 2023 | IU 75 – 73 MICH |
| Feb 11, 2023 | IU 62 – 61 MICH |
| Mar 10, 2022 | IU 74 – 69 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 11-0 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 30.5 (#1) | 15.0 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.33 (#6) | 1.52 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.19 (#5) | 2.07 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.695 (#1) | 0.556 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.7% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 42.8 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.3% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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