Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | BRY -900 SFBK +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +17 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -10.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -9.3 (+7.7) | 149.4 (+3.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -9.0 (+8.0) | 147.5 (+5.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -8.8 (+8.2) | 147.7 (+5.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -9.5 (+7.5) | 147.1 (+5.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | BRY 86 – 69 SFBK |
| Dec 9, 2020 | SFBK 93 – 91 BRY |
| Dec 9, 2020 | BRY 101 – 82 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 3-9 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#241) | -10.4 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#233) | -2.73 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#224) | -3.42 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#196) | 0.375 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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