Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +17 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -1.8 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -2.0 (-15.0) | 151.6 (+3.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -1.6 (-15.4) | 148.2 (+6.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -1.9 (-15.1) | 151.2 (+3.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -2.1 (-14.9) | 152.0 (+3.0) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2022 | BRY 85 – 68 SFBK |
| Dec 9, 2020 | SFBK 93 – 91 BRY |
| Dec 9, 2020 | BRY 101 – 82 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 16-2 |
| Home | 3-9 | 14-1 |
| Away | 7-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#305) | -3.9 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#329) | -0.44 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#330) | -0.58 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#320) | 0.503 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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