Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +34 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -14.1 (+19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -12.5 (+21.5) | 133.9 (-11.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -11.4 (+22.6) | 132.1 (-10.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -11.9 (+22.1) | 132.6 (-10.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -12.0 (+22.0) | 131.6 (-9.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | AAMU 85 – 74 TXSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | TXSO 89 – 74 AAMU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 78 AAMU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TXSO 72 – 65 AAMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TXSO 85 – 69 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 61.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#157) | -10.2 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#234) | -1.96 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#202) | -2.42 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#217) | 0.398 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 40.9% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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