Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +13 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -6.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -7.6 (-5.4) | 132.5 (-7.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -7.0 (-6.0) | 134.0 (-9.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -6.7 (-6.3) | 134.5 (-9.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -6.2 (-6.8) | 133.0 (-8.0) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CP 86 – 75 HAW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | HAW 86 – 66 CP |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CP 79 – 63 HAW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HAW 68 – 55 CP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | HAW 80 – 51 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-21 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 10-5 |
| Home | 4-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-12 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#310) | 1.1 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#324) | -0.11 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#301) | 0.01 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#337) | 0.476 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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