Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK +270 WAG -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +14 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -12.4 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -10.3 (-3.7) | 126.9 (+1.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -11.4 (-2.6) | 133.3 (-5.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -11.5 (-2.5) | 134.7 (-6.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -11.0 (-3.0) | 132.5 (-4.5) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2024 | WAG 54 – 47 MRMK |
| Jan 26, 2024 | MRMK 60 – 44 WAG |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WAG 71 – 65 MRMK |
| Jan 17, 2023 | WAG 62 – 57 MRMK |
| Dec 31, 2022 | MRMK 58 – 48 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 21-6 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-1 |
| Away | 8-9 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.9 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#317) | 6.4 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#312) | 2.04 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#314) | 2.43 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#307) | 0.545 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 25.8% |
| REB / G | 26.9 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 62.4% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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