Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UIC +115 WRST -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +16 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -2.1 (-18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+27.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -0.8 (-15.2) | 149.6 (+28.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -0.1 (-16.1) | 149.8 (+28.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -0.0 (-16.0) | 152.6 (+25.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -0.3 (-15.7) | 151.7 (+26.3) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2022 | WRST 90 – 72 UIC |
| Feb 7, 2021 | WRST 77 – 57 UIC |
| Feb 6, 2021 | WRST 72 – 47 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 9-10 | 15-7 |
| Home | 6-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#265) | -4.1 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#271) | -0.82 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#284) | -0.91 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#280) | 0.461 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 12.9% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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