Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
UIC Flames
47 – 72
FINAL Conference
Wright State Raiders
Horizon League · Credit Union 1 Arena · February 6, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -9.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money UIC +400 / WRST -450
Model Predictions
Spread Total UIC win
Actual WRST +25 119 Lost
Massey WRST -13.9 (-11.1) — —
Massey Totals — 140.6 (-21.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 26% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 13% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -11.9 (-13.1) 143.9 (-24.9) 16% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -12.3 (-12.7) 143.5 (-24.5) 15% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -13.4 (-11.6) 142.7 (-23.7) 14% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -13.0 (-12.0) 144.0 (-25.0) 14% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2022 WRST 97 – 81 UIC
Jan 7, 2022 WRST 90 – 72 UIC
Feb 7, 2021 WRST 77 – 57 UIC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UIC WRST
Overall 9-13 18-6
Conference 6-10 16-4
Home 7-4 9-4
Away 2-9 9-2
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 2-3 5-0
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 67.7 82.0
Avg Pts Against 72.3 67.4
Massey -5.3 (#248) 11.3 (#43)
Bradley-Terry -0.89 (#249) 0.62 (#128)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.40 (#256) 1.04 (#110)
RPI 0.444 (#252) 0.545 (#90)
Shooting & Four Factors UIC WRST
FG% 43.3% 48.9%
3PT% 35.9% 35.5%
REB / G 36.5 42.9
OREB / G 8.7 11.9
AST / TO 1.06 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 54.9%
TOV% 19.1% 18.4%
ORB% 24.4% 34.7%
FT Rate 16.7% 23.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.5% 43.4%
Opp TOV% 14.1% 17.1%
DRB% 72.9% 74.3%
Opp FT Rate 26.1% 14.9%

Game Analysis

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