Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UIC +600 WRST -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +20 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -15.2 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -12.9 (-7.1) | 141.6 (-7.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -13.1 (-6.9) | 140.6 (-6.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -13.9 (-6.1) | 141.2 (-7.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -13.5 (-6.5) | 141.7 (-7.7) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2022 | WRST 97 – 81 UIC |
| Jan 7, 2022 | WRST 90 – 72 UIC |
| Feb 6, 2021 | WRST 72 – 47 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 18-6 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 16-4 |
| Home | 7-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#262) | 11.8 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#248) | 0.71 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#258) | 1.08 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#249) | 0.549 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 43.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 14.2% |
Game Analysis
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