Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -320 UIC +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +18 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -3.1 (+14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -5.2 (+12.8) | 143.4 (+18.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -2.3 (+15.7) | 143.5 (+18.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -2.4 (+15.6) | 144.0 (+18.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -2.4 (+15.6) | 145.7 (+16.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2022 | WRST 97 – 81 UIC |
| Feb 7, 2021 | WRST 77 – 57 UIC |
| Feb 6, 2021 | WRST 72 – 47 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 15-7 | 9-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 6-6 |
| Away | 7-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#271) | -5.1 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#269) | -1.16 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#255) | -1.81 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#280) | 0.429 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 11.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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