Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | STMN -140 SDAK +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +11 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -6.9 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -2.9 (-13.9) | 146.7 (+22.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -3.2 (-14.2) | 149.9 (+19.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -3.7 (-14.7) | 151.7 (+17.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -3.5 (-14.5) | 151.4 (+17.6) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | STMN 90 – 78 SDAK |
| Jan 8, 2026 | STMN 99 – 86 SDAK |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SDAK 85 – 80 STMN |
| Jan 12, 2025 | STMN 119 – 104 SDAK |
| Feb 18, 2024 | STMN 83 – 80 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-8 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#217) | -5.5 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#265) | -0.43 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#242) | -0.73 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#250) | 0.456 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 12.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 20.3% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.