Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | BELL -2.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.0 (+32.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -3.1 (-0.1) | 124.3 (+24.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -3.6 (-0.6) | 125.7 (+23.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -3.6 (-0.6) | 127.5 (+21.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -2.5 (+0.5) | 127.2 (+21.8) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BELL 82 – 79 JAX |
| Jan 23, 2026 | BELL 77 – 70 JAX |
| Feb 9, 2025 | JAX 73 – 64 BELL |
| Jan 9, 2025 | JAX 74 – 59 BELL |
| Jan 27, 2024 | BELL 69 – 63 JAX |
Game Analysis
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