Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +10 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -6.8 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.5 (+28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -7.8 (-2.2) | 126.5 (+17.5) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -6.9 (-3.1) | 123.4 (+20.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -6.2 (-3.8) | 124.5 (+19.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -5.4 (-4.6) | 125.8 (+18.2) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCR 95 – 84 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CSUN 88 – 74 UCR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCR 94 – 79 CSUN |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCR 68 – 64 CSUN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 70 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 9-6 |
| Home | 4-11 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 64.3 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#315) | 0.8 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#278) | 0.72 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#277) | 0.42 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#279) | 0.536 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 80.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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