Betting Lines
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UALB -105 STBK -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +11 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | UALB -1.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -0.2 (-11.2) | 136.0 (+25.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -0.5 (-10.5) | 135.4 (+25.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -0.3 (-10.7) | 136.9 (+24.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -0.9 (-10.1) | 135.9 (+25.1) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UALB 71 – 55 STBK |
| Dec 29, 2024 | UALB 77 – 70 STBK |
| Feb 26, 2022 | STBK 66 – 50 UALB |
| Feb 21, 2021 | UALB 67 – 59 STBK |
| Feb 20, 2021 | STBK 59 – 43 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 4-8 | 13-4 |
| Away | 8-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#271) | -3.9 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#279) | 0.50 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#278) | 0.44 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#295) | 0.521 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 14.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.