Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | UALB -275 STBK +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +8 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | UALB -2.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -1.2 (+6.8) | 132.1 (-6.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -1.7 (+6.3) | 133.4 (-7.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -1.7 (+6.3) | 133.4 (-7.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -2.0 (+6.0) | 134.6 (-8.6) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UALB 71 – 55 STBK |
| Dec 29, 2024 | UALB 77 – 70 STBK |
| Feb 26, 2022 | STBK 66 – 50 UALB |
| Jan 23, 2022 | STBK 86 – 75 UALB |
| Feb 20, 2021 | STBK 59 – 43 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-9 | 9-14 |
| Conference | 6-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 4-5 | 5-5 |
| Away | 2-4 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#192) | -2.3 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#261) | -0.90 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#249) | -0.84 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#271) | 0.477 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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