Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | UALB -425 STBK +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UALB -11.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -7.4 (-0.4) | 142.5 (+4.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -8.6 (-1.6) | 147.4 (-0.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -9.4 (-2.4) | 146.6 (+0.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -8.4 (-1.4) | 144.1 (+2.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UALB 71 – 55 STBK |
| Feb 26, 2022 | STBK 66 – 50 UALB |
| Jan 23, 2022 | STBK 86 – 75 UALB |
| Feb 21, 2021 | UALB 67 – 59 STBK |
| Feb 20, 2021 | STBK 59 – 43 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#220) | -10.6 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#205) | -1.10 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#197) | -1.90 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#201) | 0.460 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.2% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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