Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UALB -225 STBK +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +16 | 102 | Lost |
| Massey | UALB -5.4 (-21.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-33.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -3.2 (-19.2) | 135.9 (-33.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -4.9 (-20.9) | 137.5 (-35.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -4.8 (-20.8) | 138.3 (-36.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -5.1 (-21.1) | 138.8 (-36.8) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UALB 71 – 55 STBK |
| Dec 29, 2024 | UALB 77 – 70 STBK |
| Feb 26, 2022 | STBK 66 – 50 UALB |
| Jan 23, 2022 | STBK 86 – 75 UALB |
| Feb 21, 2021 | UALB 67 – 59 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-9 | 9-14 |
| Conference | 6-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 4-5 | 5-5 |
| Away | 2-4 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#173) | -3.3 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#249) | -1.13 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#233) | -1.10 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#260) | 0.463 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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