Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
America East Conference · Broadview Center · February 20, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UALB -5.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money UALB -225 / STBK +230
Model Predictions
Spread Total UALB win
Actual STBK +16 102 Lost
Massey UALB -5.4 (-21.4)
Massey Totals 135.9 (-33.9)
Bradley-Terry 64%
Weighted B-T 63%
Efficiency Plus ML UALB -3.2 (-19.2) 135.9 (-33.9) 64%
Baseline Tuned ML UALB -4.9 (-20.9) 137.5 (-35.5) 70%
Baseline ML UALB -4.8 (-20.8) 138.3 (-36.3) 66%
Baseline Plus ML UALB -5.1 (-21.1) 138.8 (-36.8) 68%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 18, 2025 UALB 7155 STBK
Dec 29, 2024 UALB 7770 STBK
Feb 26, 2022 STBK 6650 UALB
Jan 23, 2022 STBK 8675 UALB
Feb 21, 2021 UALB 6759 STBK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UALB STBK
Overall 7-9 9-14
Conference 6-6 7-9
Home 4-5 5-5
Away 2-4 4-8
Neutral 1-0 0-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 69.4 65.4
Avg Pts Against 68.7 66.8
Massey -0.4 (#173) -3.3 (#222)
Bradley-Terry -0.99 (#249) -1.13 (#261)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.03 (#233) -1.10 (#241)
RPI 0.445 (#260) 0.463 (#230)
Shooting & Four Factors UALB STBK
FG% 44.8% 41.1%
3PT% 33.6% 29.1%
REB / G 29.1 37.5
OREB / G 6.7 11.1
AST / TO 0.96 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 46.2%
TOV% 17.1% 19.7%
ORB% 21.4% 29.6%
FT Rate 23.0% 22.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 22.2% 18.6%
DRB% 72.1% 73.4%
Opp FT Rate 18.4% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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