Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | STBK -125 UALB +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +16 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -3.4 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -2.6 (+13.4) | 137.7 (-21.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -2.7 (+13.3) | 139.7 (-23.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -2.8 (+13.2) | 141.5 (-25.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -3.0 (+13.0) | 140.8 (-24.8) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UALB 71 – 55 STBK |
| Dec 29, 2024 | UALB 77 – 70 STBK |
| Jan 23, 2022 | STBK 86 – 75 UALB |
| Feb 21, 2021 | UALB 67 – 59 STBK |
| Feb 20, 2021 | STBK 59 – 43 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-4 | 4-8 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#259) | -6.2 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#224) | -1.04 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#233) | -1.46 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#180) | 0.459 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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