Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | STBK -625 UALB +455 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +16 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | STBK -15.1 (-31.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -10.3 (-26.3) | 145.6 (-19.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -13.7 (-29.7) | 144.4 (-18.4) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -13.7 (-29.7) | 144.4 (-18.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -13.6 (-29.6) | 144.7 (-18.7) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2024 | UALB 77 – 70 STBK |
| Feb 26, 2022 | STBK 66 – 50 UALB |
| Jan 23, 2022 | STBK 86 – 75 UALB |
| Feb 21, 2021 | UALB 67 – 59 STBK |
| Feb 20, 2021 | STBK 59 – 43 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#169) | -11.1 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#98) | -3.07 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#121) | -4.21 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#110) | 0.430 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 61.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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