Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +25 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -3.5 (-28.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -2.2 (-27.2) | 140.5 (-15.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -2.5 (-27.5) | 143.3 (-18.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -2.6 (-27.6) | 144.1 (-19.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -2.2 (-27.2) | 143.0 (-18.0) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | FUR 76 – 67 WOF |
| Jan 17, 2026 | WOF 74 – 70 FUR |
| Mar 10, 2025 | WOF 92 – 85 FUR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FUR 78 – 75 WOF |
| Jan 14, 2025 | WOF 81 – 62 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#89) | 6.0 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#147) | 0.95 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#133) | 1.03 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#164) | 0.562 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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