Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +25 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -17.8 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -12.9 (-12.1) | 142.0 (+25.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -14.7 (-10.3) | 141.8 (+25.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -12.7 (-12.3) | 144.7 (+22.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -12.6 (-12.4) | 143.3 (+23.7) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2024 | ARIZ 91 – 65 CAL |
| Dec 30, 2023 | ARIZ 100 – 81 CAL |
| Feb 10, 2023 | ARIZ 85 – 62 CAL |
| Dec 4, 2022 | ARIZ 81 – 68 CAL |
| Mar 5, 2022 | ARIZ 89 – 61 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 33-4 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 18-2 |
| Home | 10-8 | 17-0 |
| Away | 2-9 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 84.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#121) | 24.4 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#155) | 3.70 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#138) | 4.76 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#194) | 0.650 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 43.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 41.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 15.9% |
Game Analysis
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