Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | CAL +700 ARIZ -1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +19 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -22.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -13.6 (-5.4) | 164.4 (+16.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -12.8 (-6.2) | 163.1 (+17.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -16.3 (-2.7) | 162.8 (+18.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -14.5 (-4.5) | 164.4 (+16.6) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2024 | ARIZ 91 – 65 CAL |
| Feb 10, 2023 | ARIZ 85 – 62 CAL |
| Dec 4, 2022 | ARIZ 81 – 68 CAL |
| Mar 5, 2022 | ARIZ 89 – 61 CAL |
| Jan 23, 2022 | ARIZ 96 – 71 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 87.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#187) | 25.6 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#273) | 2.98 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#247) | 4.60 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#235) | 0.649 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 45.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 38.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 79.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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