Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | CAL +1400 ARIZ -8000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +23 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -17.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -15.5 (-7.5) | 139.9 (+7.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -14.8 (-8.2) | 139.2 (+7.8) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -16.6 (-6.4) | 141.6 (+5.4) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -15.6 (-7.4) | 140.9 (+6.1) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2024 | ARIZ 91 – 65 CAL |
| Dec 30, 2023 | ARIZ 100 – 81 CAL |
| Dec 4, 2022 | ARIZ 81 – 68 CAL |
| Mar 5, 2022 | ARIZ 89 – 61 CAL |
| Jan 23, 2022 | ARIZ 96 – 71 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 14-6 |
| Home | 3-14 | 15-2 |
| Away | 0-12 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L16 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.3 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#238) | 16.6 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#325) | 2.99 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#302) | 3.32 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#317) | 0.644 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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