Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +13 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -28.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -17.1 (-4.1) | 146.7 (+2.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -19.9 (-6.9) | 144.3 (+4.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -21.4 (-8.4) | 144.4 (+4.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -21.2 (-8.2) | 147.4 (+1.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2024 | ARIZ 91 – 65 CAL |
| Dec 30, 2023 | ARIZ 100 – 81 CAL |
| Feb 10, 2023 | ARIZ 85 – 62 CAL |
| Mar 5, 2022 | ARIZ 89 – 61 CAL |
| Jan 23, 2022 | ARIZ 96 – 71 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-18 |
| Home | 15-2 | 3-14 |
| Away | 6-4 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L16 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 58.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#14) | -7.7 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#15) | -3.73 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.89 (#18) | -4.83 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.662 (#11) | 0.396 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.1% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.5% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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