The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Wyoming Cowboys
93 – 91
FINAL Conference
New Mexico Lobos
Mountain West Conference · Arena-Auditorium · January 23, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WYO -12.0 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Money WYO -600 / UNM +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total WYO win
Actual WYO +2 184 Won
Massey WYO -15.1 (-13.1) — —
Massey Totals — 153.4 (+30.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WYO -12.3 (-10.3) 155.9 (+28.1) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WYO -13.2 (-11.2) 151.7 (+32.3) 89% ✓
Baseline ML WYO -13.4 (-11.4) 152.5 (+31.5) 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WYO -13.9 (-11.9) 154.7 (+29.3) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 4, 2026 UNM 78 – 58 WYO
Feb 13, 2025 UNM 71 – 67 WYO
Jan 8, 2025 UNM 61 – 53 WYO
Feb 7, 2024 UNM 91 – 73 WYO
Jan 7, 2024 UNM 77 – 60 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WYO UNM
Overall 25-9 13-19
Conference 13-5 5-12
Home 14-1 11-7
Away 8-5 2-9
Neutral 3-3 0-3
Last 5 5-0 0-5
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 71.5 73.7
Avg Pts Against 65.7 76.7
Massey 11.5 (#33) -0.2 (#165)
Bradley-Terry 2.79 (#19) -0.14 (#184)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.36 (#24) -0.05 (#174)
RPI 0.613 (#26) 0.509 (#154)
Shooting & Four Factors WYO UNM
FG% 47.6% 42.4%
3PT% 34.6% 34.6%
REB / G 35.6 34.5
OREB / G 7.5 9.7
AST / TO 1.14 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.0% 49.3%
TOV% 15.2% 16.1%
ORB% 23.5% 25.0%
FT Rate 26.4% 25.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.8% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 18.2%
DRB% 73.7% 67.5%
Opp FT Rate 16.9% 28.1%

Game Analysis

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