Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -11.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -8.4 (-11.4) | 132.4 (+4.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -8.4 (-11.4) | 132.1 (+4.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -8.2 (-11.2) | 132.6 (+4.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -8.6 (-11.6) | 133.9 (+3.1) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | RID 67 – 62 NIA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | RID 77 – 76 NIA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | RID 68 – 65 NIA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RID 71 – 61 NIA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NIA 78 – 74 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#177) | -8.4 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#219) | -1.93 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#219) | -2.28 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#173) | 0.399 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 42.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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