Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -23.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MUR -24.2 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -20.4 (-12.4) | 143.2 (-3.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -19.9 (-11.9) | 143.1 (-3.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -22.1 (-14.1) | 143.0 (-3.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -21.5 (-13.5) | 143.2 (-3.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2022 | MUR 62 – 60 UTM |
| Feb 14, 2021 | MUR 84 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 16, 2021 | MUR 79 – 57 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-3 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-0 | 5-8 |
| Away | 11-1 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 12.6 (#24) | -8.1 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#26) | -1.51 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#30) | -1.91 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#24) | 0.433 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.