Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UTM +800 MUR -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +22 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | MUR -7.6 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -5.8 (-16.2) | 137.2 (-1.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -5.1 (-16.9) | 143.8 (-7.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -5.9 (-16.1) | 142.6 (-6.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -5.9 (-16.1) | 142.4 (-6.4) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2022 | MUR 62 – 60 UTM |
| Jan 23, 2022 | MUR 74 – 66 UTM |
| Feb 14, 2021 | MUR 84 – 55 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-16 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#334) | -3.6 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#299) | -1.40 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.01 (#312) | -1.48 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#316) | 0.404 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 24.5% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.5% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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