Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +2 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | MUR -17.9 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -13.0 (+11.0) | 137.4 (-15.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -14.3 (+12.3) | 140.2 (-18.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -13.0 (+11.0) | 138.8 (-16.8) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -13.8 (+11.8) | 140.0 (-18.0) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2022 | MUR 74 – 66 UTM |
| Feb 14, 2021 | MUR 84 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 16, 2021 | MUR 79 – 57 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 31-3 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 18-0 |
| Home | 5-8 | 15-0 |
| Away | 2-13 | 11-1 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 63.4 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#310) | 11.9 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#328) | 3.00 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.54 (#327) | 3.43 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#308) | 0.616 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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