Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MUR -2500 UTM +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +29 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MUR -19.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -13.8 (+15.2) | 135.3 (+3.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -13.9 (+15.1) | 137.5 (+1.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -16.1 (+12.9) | 136.9 (+2.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -15.1 (+13.9) | 134.8 (+4.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2022 | MUR 62 – 60 UTM |
| Jan 23, 2022 | MUR 74 – 66 UTM |
| Jan 16, 2021 | MUR 79 – 57 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 8-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#156) | -15.9 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#242) | -1.76 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#236) | -2.95 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#238) | 0.417 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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