Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +15 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -9.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -7.6 (-7.4) | 151.3 (-14.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -8.1 (-6.9) | 151.2 (-14.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -7.9 (-7.1) | 152.2 (-15.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -8.7 (-6.3) | 153.6 (-16.6) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | QUIN 89 – 68 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2025 | IONA 81 – 73 QUIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 74 IONA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | QUIN 63 – 62 IONA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | QUIN 82 – 64 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 17-3 |
| Home | 8-7 | 13-0 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#243) | 8.6 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#230) | 2.50 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#240) | 3.04 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#286) | 0.633 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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