Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -7.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (+21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -7.6 (-4.6) | 137.2 (+17.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -6.1 (-3.1) | 136.5 (+18.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -6.6 (-3.6) | 136.5 (+18.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -6.0 (-3.0) | 138.2 (+16.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2024 | STAN 71 – 62 ASU |
| Dec 30, 2023 | ASU 76 – 73 STAN |
| Feb 10, 2023 | ASU 69 – 65 STAN |
| Dec 5, 2022 | ASU 68 – 64 STAN |
| Mar 9, 2022 | STAN 71 – 70 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#102) | 0.6 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#54) | 0.41 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#55) | 0.07 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#38) | 0.528 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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