Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | STAN -188 ASU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -0.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -2.1 (-6.1) | 138.4 (-4.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -0.9 (-4.9) | 136.7 (-2.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -1.6 (-5.6) | 138.6 (-4.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -1.6 (-5.6) | 138.1 (-4.1) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2024 | STAN 71 – 62 ASU |
| Dec 30, 2023 | ASU 76 – 73 STAN |
| Dec 5, 2022 | ASU 68 – 64 STAN |
| Mar 9, 2022 | STAN 71 – 70 ASU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | ASU 65 – 56 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#93) | 7.8 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#183) | 1.35 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#157) | 1.70 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#236) | 0.563 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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