Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Over |
| Money | ASU -190 STAN +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +1 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | ASU -1.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -2.5 (-3.5) | 128.6 (+12.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -0.8 (-1.8) | 128.9 (+12.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -2.4 (-3.4) | 129.4 (+11.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -2.8 (-3.8) | 129.2 (+11.8) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2024 | STAN 71 – 62 ASU |
| Dec 30, 2023 | ASU 76 – 73 STAN |
| Feb 10, 2023 | ASU 69 – 65 STAN |
| Dec 5, 2022 | ASU 68 – 64 STAN |
| Mar 5, 2022 | ASU 65 – 56 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#98) | 4.2 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#82) | 1.18 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#92) | 1.33 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#83) | 0.526 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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