Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
| Money | ASU -230 STAN +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -13.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -9.6 (-5.6) | 131.2 (+0.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -8.3 (-4.3) | 131.2 (+0.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -9.3 (-5.3) | 132.7 (-0.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -10.4 (-6.4) | 132.7 (-0.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2024 | STAN 71 – 62 ASU |
| Dec 30, 2023 | ASU 76 – 73 STAN |
| Feb 10, 2023 | ASU 69 – 65 STAN |
| Mar 9, 2022 | STAN 71 – 70 ASU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | ASU 65 – 56 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#36) | 3.0 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#27) | -0.79 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.86 (#17) | -0.49 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#39) | 0.497 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.6% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 79.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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