Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | MSM -550 CCSU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +15 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | MSM -10.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -9.3 (+5.7) | 132.9 (-17.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -9.1 (+5.9) | 135.0 (-20.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -9.5 (+5.5) | 133.9 (-18.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -9.1 (+5.9) | 133.1 (-18.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2022 | MSM 65 – 46 CCSU |
| Jan 22, 2021 | CCSU 65 – 64 MSM |
| Jan 22, 2021 | MSM 67 – 57 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-7 | 5-7 |
| Away | 6-11 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#278) | -13.3 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#284) | -2.67 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#288) | -3.16 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#252) | 0.382 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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