Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU +220 MSM -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +10 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | MSM -4.7 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -3.7 (-6.3) | 128.5 (-4.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -3.4 (-6.6) | 131.8 (-7.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -3.4 (-6.6) | 131.9 (-7.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -3.4 (-6.6) | 133.0 (-9.0) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2022 | MSM 65 – 46 CCSU |
| Jan 23, 2022 | MSM 65 – 50 CCSU |
| Jan 22, 2021 | CCSU 65 – 64 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-16 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-7 |
| Home | 3-6 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 62.2 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#303) | -1.5 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#263) | 0.35 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#253) | 0.29 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#238) | 0.530 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 20.7% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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