Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.0 Under |
| Money | CCSU +180 MSM -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +19 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | MSM -4.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -4.4 (-14.6) | 127.6 (-16.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -2.9 (-16.1) | 128.0 (-17.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -2.7 (-16.3) | 128.4 (-17.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -3.0 (-16.0) | 128.4 (-17.4) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2022 | MSM 65 – 50 CCSU |
| Jan 22, 2021 | CCSU 65 – 64 MSM |
| Jan 22, 2021 | MSM 67 – 57 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-7 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-15 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -13.9 (#348) | -6.6 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#343) | -1.56 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.07 (#344) | -1.89 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#337) | 0.464 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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