Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +26 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | SF -13.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -11.2 (-14.8) | 147.2 (-31.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -12.3 (-13.7) | 149.3 (-33.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -13.7 (-12.3) | 149.2 (-33.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -13.5 (-12.5) | 148.2 (-32.2) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | SF 80 – 60 PEPP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SF 80 – 63 PEPP |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SF 92 – 68 PEPP |
| Feb 9, 2024 | SF 80 – 74 PEPP |
| Feb 12, 2023 | SF 88 – 80 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 10-6 |
| Home | 7-9 | 14-4 |
| Away | 0-13 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 67.5 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#286) | 10.2 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#286) | 2.18 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#281) | 2.86 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#290) | 0.613 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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