Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -13.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -11.5 (-4.5) | 146.1 (-3.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -10.8 (-3.8) | 148.5 (-5.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -11.1 (-4.1) | 147.6 (-4.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -11.4 (-4.4) | 147.6 (-4.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | RMU 83 – 64 CLE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | RMU 85 – 68 CLE |
| Feb 13, 2025 | RMU 68 – 59 CLE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | CLE 80 – 69 RMU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLE 73 – 71 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 5-16 |
| Home | 15-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#183) | -10.5 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#123) | -2.86 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#132) | -3.29 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#114) | 0.407 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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