Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +5 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | KC -12.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -8.5 (-3.5) | 136.0 (+17.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -9.4 (-4.4) | 139.9 (+13.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -10.1 (-5.1) | 139.9 (+13.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -9.7 (-4.7) | 140.4 (+12.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UND 85 – 70 KC |
| Jan 11, 2026 | UND 81 – 79 KC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KC 80 – 69 UND |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UND 76 – 72 KC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | KC 65 – 47 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 2-16 |
| Home | 11-3 | 4-11 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#269) | -14.7 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#218) | -2.68 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#213) | -3.87 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#204) | 0.362 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.9% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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