Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +6 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -3.7 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -3.3 (+9.3) | 136.1 (+3.9) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -0.8 (+6.8) | 136.2 (+3.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -1.3 (+7.3) | 137.6 (+2.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -1.8 (+7.8) | 137.1 (+2.9) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UCI 69 – 58 LBSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UCI 74 – 64 LBSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UCI 70 – 60 LBSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCI 80 – 75 LBSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | LBSU 83 – 79 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-10 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 9-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-1 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 61.4 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#229) | 4.2 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#225) | 0.40 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#195) | 0.55 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#173) | 0.547 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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