Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +14 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -18.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -14.4 (-0.4) | 137.8 (-3.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -15.1 (-1.1) | 137.3 (-3.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -15.1 (-1.1) | 136.5 (-2.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -15.2 (-1.2) | 136.4 (-2.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2021 | USM 64 – 59 MTSU |
| Jan 16, 2021 | USM 84 – 54 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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