Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | USM +120 MTSU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USM +30 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | USM -3.9 (+26.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 112.9 (+25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USM -4.7 (+25.3) | 126.5 (+11.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USM -3.4 (+26.6) | 123.9 (+14.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USM -3.4 (+26.6) | 124.6 (+13.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USM -4.5 (+25.5) | 128.5 (+9.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2022 | MTSU 74 – 60 USM |
| Jan 16, 2021 | USM 64 – 59 MTSU |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.