Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +1 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | NAVY -11.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -9.3 (-10.3) | 131.4 (+15.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -8.3 (-9.3) | 134.6 (+12.4) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -9.1 (-10.1) | 134.9 (+12.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -9.3 (-10.3) | 134.0 (+13.0) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NAVY 81 – 63 ARMY |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NAVY 84 – 56 ARMY |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NAVY 61 – 54 ARMY |
| Jan 26, 2025 | NAVY 66 – 53 ARMY |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ARMY 69 – 67 NAVY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAVY | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 11-5 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.8 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#130) | -6.1 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#151) | -0.70 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#155) | -1.15 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#186) | 0.472 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAVY | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 14.3% |
Game Analysis
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