Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +14 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | BAY -4.8 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -3.2 (-10.8) | 136.7 (-20.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -3.3 (-10.7) | 133.6 (-17.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -3.9 (-10.1) | 136.9 (-20.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -3.8 (-10.2) | 135.9 (-19.9) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Apr 4, 2026 | OU 82 – 69 BAY |
| Feb 14, 2024 | BAY 79 – 62 OU |
| Feb 9, 2023 | BAY 82 – 72 OU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | BAY 62 – 60 OU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | OU 72 – 67 BAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 64.1 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#32) | 20.1 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#50) | 3.81 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#42) | 4.98 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#71) | 0.628 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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